朝鲜无核化依然遥遥无期 分享到
Still No Concrete Steps for North Korea’s Denuclearization 2018-09-1077733

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Chung Eui-yong, president Moon’s top security adviser, led the South Korean delegation. The South and North agreed to hold an inter-Korean Summit on September 18th to 20th over three days and two nights in Pyongyang, and to hold high-ranking working-level talks early next week in Panmunjom to discuss protocol, security, communications and media coverage as part of preparations for the summit.
文在寅的首席安全顾问郑义溶率领韩国代表团。南北双方同意于9月18日至20日在平壤举行朝韩首脑峰会,并且将于下周初在板门店举行高级别的工作会谈,讨论峰会的礼仪安排、安全、通讯以及媒体报道等峰会准备事宜。
Chung said Kim wished to denuclearize and in hostilities with Washington before 2021, adding that the North Korean leader’s faith in U.S. President Donald Trump was unchanged, something the US president thanked him for on Twitter.
郑义溶表示,金正恩希望在2021年到来的时候实现去核化,并结束跟美国的敌对状态。他接着说,这位朝鲜领导人对特朗普的信任“没有改变”。美国总统通过推特就此表达感谢。
Troy University International Relations Lecturer, Daniel Pinkston says there is skepticism about Kim’s commitment to denuclearization.Well, I don’t see any written commitments.There are a number of written mechanisms, legal mechanisms in ways that they can demonstrate politically and legally that they’re bound to these denuclearization commitments.
特洛伊大学国际学关系讲师丹尼尔·平克斯顿表示,金正恩对去核化作出的承诺眼下受到怀疑。我看不到任何书面的承诺。有一些书面的机制,法律的机制,以及朝鲜方面可以以政治和法律的方式展示他们要履行去核化承诺的方式。”
Harry Kazianis is the director of Defense Studies at the center for the National Interest. He doubts Kim Jong-un will denuclearize, but knows a shift from the fire and fury days of 2017.If the goal is the complete, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization or our CVID like we used to hear a few months ago, that’s probably not going to happen.But there is a lot of ways to lessen tensions with North Korea and to have what I would call a working relationship.“If North Korea commits to arms control, arms reduction and denuclearization,” Pinkston says,“there are a number of opportunities that are open for North Korea and, of course, it can’t happen overnight. It will take years.”
国家利益中心国防问题研究部主任哈利·卡兹亚尼斯表示怀疑金正恩会实行无核化,但指出他不再像2017年那样动辄发出“怒火” 。如果朝鲜的目标是彻底的、可核查的、不可逆转的无核化,即我们几个月前听说的CVID,那么几乎是不可能的。但有很多途径可以降低与朝鲜的紧张关系,跟朝鲜建立我所说的可以工作的关系。平克斯顿也表示,假如朝鲜致力于军备控制与缩减以及无核化,“还是有很多的机会可以最终为朝鲜敞开。当然,这不是一蹴而就的。这会花上数年的时间。”
The 1952-53 Korean War ended with an armistice and not a peace treaty, leaving the peninsula technically still at war.President Moon has made an end of war declaration one of his goals.At the United Nations General Assembly in late September, South Korea will seek a trilateral summit or possibly a four-nation meeting that includes China to declare a formal end to the conflict.Kazianis doesn’t think such an announcement is likely,but he said that doing so at some point, we’re basically all agreeing that the war is over.If at that point Kim Jong-un still will not budge on denuclearization, I think you have an understand that he’s never going to do it.
1950年至53年的朝鲜战争以停战协议结束,战争双方没有签署和平协议,因此朝鲜半岛从法律上说依然处于战争状态。文在寅总统将宣布战争结束作为他的一个重要议题。韩国眼下谋求在9月下旬举行的联合国大会期间进行三方峰会,或在可能的情况下举行四方会谈,其中包括中国,以正式宣布结束朝鲜战争。 卡兹亚尼斯不认为会有这样的联合国大会宣言,但是,他说,假如最终出现了这样的事情就等于是各方“一致认为战争已经结束。”假如金正恩没有展示出走向无核化的具体步骤,人们就可以认识到他永远也不会去核化。
Steve Miller, VOA News, Washington
美国之音新闻,Steve Miller 华盛顿报道。

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